← CoreTCG Distorted Reflection (DTR) Regional Championship
Fire ByakkoTier 2
at CoreTCG Distorted Reflection (DTR) Regional Championship
decks
1
(1.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-1-2
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.6%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
49.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345
· median 1345
· range 1345–1345
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1179
Q3 1387
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Water Allies | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Water Fractal | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Byakko decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
